Tesla: Hydrogen zog yog ib qho khoom siv tseem ceeb hauv kev lag luam

"Grand Plan" yog lub tswv yim tseem ceeb ntawm Tesla. Yav dhau los, Tesla tau tso tawm "Grand Plan 1" thiab "Grand Plan 2" thaum Lub Yim Hli 2006 thiab Lub Xya Hli 2016, uas feem ntau suav nrog cov tsheb fais fab, kev tsav tsheb tsis muaj zog, hnub ci zog, thiab lwm yam. Feem ntau ntawm cov phiaj xwm saum toj no tau ua tiav.

Txoj Kev Npaj 3 tau cog lus rau kev lag luam kev lag luam ruaj khov nrog rau cov hom phiaj kom ua tiav nws: 240 terawatt teev cia, 30 terawatts ntawm cov hluav taws xob tauj dua tshiab, $ 10 trillion ntawm peev hauv kev tsim khoom, ib nrab ntawm cov roj kev lag luam hauv lub zog, tsawg dua 0.2% av, 10% ntawm GDP thoob ntiaj teb hauv 2022, kov yeej txhua qhov kev sib tw.

Tesla yog lub chaw tsim khoom loj tshaj plaws hauv ntiaj teb, thiab nws cov tsheb muag hluav taws xob ntshiab tau ua tau zoo. Ua ntej ntawd, Tesla CEO Elon Musk tau tsis ntseeg siab txog hydrogen thiab hydrogen roj hlwb, thiab tau tshaj tawm nws txoj kev xav ntawm "kev poob qis" ntawm hydrogen kev loj hlob ntawm ntau lub platform kev sib raug zoo.

Yav dhau los, Musk thuam lo lus "Fuel Cell" raws li "Fool Cell" ntawm ib qho kev tshwm sim tom qab Toyota's Mirai hydrogen roj cell tau tshaj tawm. Hydrogen roj yog tsim rau foob pob ua ntxaij, tab sis tsis yog rau tsheb.

Xyoo 2021, Musk txhawb nqa Volkswagen CEO Herbert Diess thaum nws tawg hydrogen ntawm Twitter.

Thaum Lub Plaub Hlis 1, 2022, Musk tweeted tias Tesla yuav hloov ntawm hluav taws xob mus rau hydrogen hauv 2024 thiab tso nws cov roj hluav taws xob hydrogen Model H - qhov tseeb, lub Plaub Hlis Fool's Day tso dag los ntawm Musk, rov thuam hydrogen txoj kev loj hlob.

Hauv kev xam phaj nrog Lub Sijhawm Nyiaj Txiag thaum Lub Tsib Hlis 10, 2022, Musk tau hais tias, "Hydrogen yog lub tswv yim ruam tshaj plaws los siv los ua lub zog cia," ntxiv, "Hydrogen tsis yog txoj hauv kev zoo los khaws lub zog."

Tesla tau ntev tsis muaj kev npaj los nqis peev hauv hydrogen roj cell tsheb. Thaum Lub Peb Hlis 2023, Tesla suav nrog hydrogen cov ntsiab lus hauv nws "Grand Plan 3" tsom mus rau kev txhim kho kev lag luam hluav taws xob ruaj khov, uas tau qhia tias Musk thiab Tesla tau lees paub lub luag haujlwm tseem ceeb ntawm hydrogen hauv kev hloov pauv hluav taws xob thiab txhawb kev tsim kho ntsuab hydrogen.

Tam sim no, lub ntiaj teb no hydrogen roj cell tsheb, txhawb infrastructure thiab tag nrho cov kev lag luam saw tau tsim sai heev. Raws li kev txheeb cais ua ntej ntawm Tuam Tshoj Hydrogen Energy Alliance, los ntawm qhov kawg ntawm 2022, tag nrho cov roj cell tsheb nyob rau hauv lub ntiaj teb no lub teb chaws loj tau mus txog 67,315, nrog rau ib lub xyoo ntawm kev loj hlob ntawm 36.3%. Tus naj npawb ntawm cov roj cell tsheb tau nce los ntawm 826 hauv 2015 mus rau 67,488 hauv 2022. Hauv tsib lub xyoos dhau los, qhov kev loj hlob txhua xyoo tau nce mus txog 52.97%, uas yog nyob rau hauv kev loj hlob ruaj khov. Hauv xyoo 2022, kev muag khoom ntawm cov tsheb roj tsheb hauv lub tebchaws loj tau nce mus txog 17,921, nce 9.9 feem pua ​​​​rau xyoo.

Contrary to Musk txoj kev xav, IEA piav qhia txog hydrogen ua "multifunctional power carrier" nrog rau ntau yam kev siv, suav nrog kev lag luam thiab kev thauj mus los. Xyoo 2019, IEA tau hais tias hydrogen yog ib qho ntawm cov kev xaiv tseem ceeb rau khaws cia lub zog tauj dua tshiab, cog lus tias yuav yog qhov kev xaiv qis tshaj plaws rau khaws cia hluav taws xob rau hnub, lub lis piam lossis ntau hli. IEA ntxiv tias ob qho tib si hydrogen thiab hydrogen-based fuels tuaj yeem thauj cov hluav taws xob txuas ntxiv mus ntev.

Tsis tas li ntawd, cov ntaub ntawv pej xeem qhia tau hais tias txog rau tam sim no, tag nrho ntawm kaum lub tuam txhab tsheb loj tshaj plaws nrog kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb tau nkag mus rau hydrogen roj cell tsheb lag luam, qhib lub lag luam hydrogen roj cell layout. Tam sim no, txawm tias Tesla tseem hais tias hydrogen yuav tsum tsis txhob siv rau hauv tsheb, lub ntiaj teb sab saum toj 10 lub tuam txhab tsheb los ntawm kev muag khoom yog tag nrho siv hydrogen roj cell lag luam, uas txhais tau hais tias hydrogen zog tau lees paub tias yog qhov chaw rau kev loj hlob hauv kev thauj mus los. .

Related: Yuav ua li cas yog qhov cuam tshuam ntawm tag nrho cov saum 10 muag tsheb nteg tawm hydrogen racetracks?

Zuag qhia tag nrho, hydrogen yog ib qho ntawm lub ntiaj teb ua lag luam tsheb los xaiv txoj kev taug mus rau yav tom ntej. Tam sim no, kev hloov pauv ntawm cov qauv hluav taws xob yog tsav lub ntiaj teb hydrogen zog kev lag luam saw kom pib rau theem dav dua. Nyob rau hauv lub neej yav tom ntej, nrog rau kev loj hlob tsis tu ncua thiab industrialization ntawm roj cell technology, kev loj hlob sai ntawm downstream xav tau, kev nthuav dav ntawm kev lag luam ntau lawm thiab kev lag luam nplai, qhov kev loj hlob tsis tu ncua ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob thiab kev sib tw tsis tu ncua ntawm cov neeg koom nrog kev lag luam, tus nqi thiab tus nqi roj hlwb yuav poob sai heev. Niaj hnub no, thaum muaj kev txhawb nqa kev loj hlob, hydrogen zog, lub zog huv si, yuav muaj kev lag luam dav dua. Kev siv lub zog tshiab yav tom ntej yog khi rau ntau theem, thiab cov tsheb siv hluav taws xob hydrogen yuav txuas ntxiv ua kom nrawm nrawm ntawm txoj kev loj hlob.